Bitcoin’s (BTC) Coinbase Premium Index has turned negative at -0.008 for the first time in three weeks, signaling a sharp reduction in US spot market demand and aligning with BTC's current price drop. The signal held across hourly readings through the next 48 hours, showing consistent selling pressure from US-based buyers. The shift comes as the net weekly average of BTC realized losses climbed to $829 million, suggesting reduced investor conviction.
Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant
Crypto trader Ardi highlighted a break in both trendline support and the $77,300 liquidity zone. The trader linked the move to weakening spot demand, noting that the premium has posted consecutive red readings for the first time since BTC was near $67,000.
Ardi said that price action during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting window could remain volatile, with rapid moves in either direction. Traders could place focus on the $74,500–$75,500 range as a key downside area tied to demand exhaustion.
Onchain data adds to this view. Crypto analyst Darkfost noted that the weekly realized losses reached $829 million on a seven-day average, compared to $566 million in realized profits. The net realized profit briefly turned positive on April 9, then reversed within two weeks.
Bitcoin net realized profit/loss [USD] 7DMA. Source: CryptoQuant
The share of supply in profit stands at 64%, a level that has not historically supported sustained upside. This indicates weaker conviction among holders despite the recent rebound.
Related: Bitcoin price hits one-week low as $100 oil sparks fresh Asia crisis fears
Bitcoin sell volumes at Binance reach $828 million
Derivatives data shows strong sell-side activity on Binance. Crypto analyst Amr Taha noted that the 24-hour cumulative net taker volume dropped by $828 million on April 27, the lowest reading since late March.
BTC cumulative net taker volume on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant
Negative net taker volume indicates that the market's sell orders exceed its buy orders. The Binance taker buy/sell ratio has also fallen to 0.89, a level last recorded on March 29.
That earlier reading aligned with a local pivot when Bitcoin tested $66,000, then recovered by 15% over the past 30 days.
The current readings place both metrics back near prior exhaustion zones. Taha described the setup as closer to a short-term capitulation than a larger trend breakdown.
Related: Can Bitcoin hit $250K this year? Traders say it may be time to ‘sell in May’
