XRP’s price action in recent days has taken a softer turn, with the token now trading below $2 after failing to hold recent recovery attempts. That move has changed the near-term momentum back in favor of sellers, especially as price action is printing closes beneath short-term dynamic support on the higher timeframes.
A technical analysis shared by CoinsKid on X looks at a broader corrective structure developing on the 5-day chart, one that could place XRP on a more pronounced bearish path if important price levels are not reclaimed.
3-Wave Correction: Structure And Significance
Technical analysis of XRP’s price action since mid-2025 shows an interesting corrective sequence that can be described in terms of waves. According to CoinsKid, what appeared to start as a corrective advance into the cluster of moving averages on the 5-day chart has failed to sustain itself once meeting resistance at the marked sell signal, which is shown in the chart image below.
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According to CoinsKid’s interpretation of the 5-day candlestick chart, XRP price action appears to be tracing out a three-wave corrective move. The significance of this interpretation lies in its implication that the most recent bounce to $2.4 was not a true shift back to bullish control but a retracement within a larger downward corrective pattern that still has more moves to play out.
An important point in the analysis is the loss of a custom indicator called the CoinsKid ribbon on the 5-day timeframe. This band of moving averages had previously acted as a guide for trend strength for most of 2025, with sustained trading above it pointing to bullish control. However, XRP has repeatedly closed below this ribbon since the flash crash in October 2025, and sellers have maintained control of the broader structure since then.
XRP Price Chart. Source: @Coins_Kid on X
Multi-Year Trendline As Downside Magnet
The bearish scenario outlined on the chart places XRP’s next major area of interest around the rising multi-year support trendline, which currently converges in the $1.30 to $1.40 range. This ascending white trendline, which is visible on the 5-day chart and extends back to 2020, coincides with zones where XRP found strong demand after pullbacks. The highlighted green zone on the chart centers on this $1.30 to $1.40 range.
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At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.96, down by 4.7% in the past 24 hours. CoinsKid’s projection is that if the current corrective move continues to play out, the XRP price could rotate lower from the descending resistance line and travel toward this support area over the coming months. This would be the final move in an ABC wave correction that began after XRP peaked at a new all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025.
According to the analysis, only a sustained move back above the 5-day ribbon would invalidate this bearish path and reduce the likelihood of price revisiting that lower support region.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
