Key Notes
- Ethereum is set to close November with a steep 21% monthly loss after $1.28B in US ETF outflows and early-month whale selling.
- Derivatives markets flipped bullish late in the month, with whales deploying over $700M in long positions at the $2,960 support cluster.
- December outlook hinges on the $3,100 resistance, where $1.3B in shorts are positioned; a squeeze at that level could propel ETH toward $3,500.
Ethereum price hurtled toward the $3,030 level on Sunday, Nov. 28, setting the asset on course to close the month with 21.4% losses.
Heavy whale sell-offs in the first half of the month inflicted the most damage, as broader crypto markets reacted to the US government shutdown and political pressure facing the crypto-friendly Trump administration.
Ethereum ETF Flows Nov 2025 | Source: FarsideInvestors
US-listed Ethereum ETFs recorded $1.284 billion in outflows during an eight-day selling wave from Nov. 11 to Nov. 20. Although ETF issuers returned to net inflows in the final week, the late inflows were insufficient to offset earlier drawdowns. Farside Investors data shows Ethereum ETFs logged $368 million in inflows last week, marking a clean sweep of daily positives but failing to reverse the monthly deficit, which amounted to $1.4 billion in withdrawals for the month.
Tom Lee-led Bitmine, the largest Ethereum treasury holder, also aligned with the ETFs’ late-month accumulation trend. Bitmine added 14,618 ETH, worth about $185 million, during the final week of November, reinforcing the long-term commitment from US corporate investors as recent geopolitical tensions fade.
Derivatives Positioning Turns Bullish as Whales Deploy $700M Longs at $2,960 Support
Despite the renewed demand from whales failing to overturn Ethereum’s 21% monthly loss, derivatives market trends indicate that large investors have done enough to shift sentiment toward a constructive outlook for December.
Ethereum Liquidation Map, Nov 30, 2025 | Source: Coinglass
Coinglass liquidation-map data shows bulls regained clear control over the past week, with 3.97 million active long ETH contracts outweighing the $1.9 billion in total shorts. More critically, the data reveals the $2,960 zone attracted the largest single derivatives position cluster in seven days, with more than $700 million in long exposure deployed at that level.
This cluster explains why Ethereum held the $3,000 support area despite intraday pressure triggered by Bitcoin’s rejection below $90,400 on Nov. 29. Whales appear committed to defending the zone, creating an early psychological anchor for Ethereum’s price outlook in December.
Ethereum Price Outlook for December 2025
Ethereum enters December with derivatives sentiment leaning decisively bullish. However, the liquidation map shows more than $1.3 billion of the active $1.96 billion short positions sit near the $3,100 level. That concentration introduces a tactical ceiling. ETH could struggle to break the level cleanly if bears initiate protective coverage.
Conversely, a breakout from that zone could trigger a short squeeze that could accelerate ETH toward $3,500 in the weeks ahead.
Ethereum (ETH) Technical Price Analysis | Nov 30 2025 | Source: TradingView
Technical indicators support this optimistic outlook on the ETH price. As seen below, Ethereum continues to trade above the 20-day EMA, signalling recovering near-term demand. However, the 200-day moving average still trends downward near $3,130, reinforcing the overhead resistance observed in the derivatives market.
Ethereum RSI at 51 also suggests neutral momentum with room for expansion in either direction, while a positive volume delta reading suggests buyers have the upper hand in the near term.
If bulls defend the $2,960 cluster with the same consistency seen in late November, Ethereum has a credible path to establish $3,500 as Ethereum’s primary upside target for December 2025. Meanwhile, failure to hold that support line may trigger a reversal to $2,880 and $2,820.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Ibrahim Ajibade is a seasoned research analyst with a background in supporting various Web3 startups and financial organizations. He earned his undergraduate degree in Economics and is currently studying for a Master’s in Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technologies at the University of Malta.
