Market analysts have continued to deliberate on how the Bitcoin value may react to a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory within the US presidential elections. Historical past signifies that Bitcoin’s future trajectory is bullish, regardless of who wins the elections.
How The Bitcoin Value Has Reacted To Earlier Winners
The Bitcoin value has all the time hit a brand new all-time high (ATH) whatever the winners previously US presidential elections. In 2012, after Barack Obama received the elections, Bitcoin rallied and reached a brand new ATH of $1,200 in 2013. Its value then consolidated till the subsequent election in 2016.
The 2016 US presidential elections, which Donald Trump received, additionally sparked the start of one other spectacular rally for the Bitcoin value, which rose to a brand new ATH of $19,000 the next yr. In 2020, following Joe Biden’s victory within the US presidential election, BTC rose to a brand new ATH of $69,000.
The Bitcoin value rally after the US presidential elections is believed to be because of the market certainty that the election aftermath gives. In the meantime, primarily based on historical past, the BTC rally may start as quickly as December, with the flagship crypto hitting a brand new ATH as quickly as January 2024.
In 2016, the Bitcoin value rally started about three weeks earlier than the election and went on to hit a brand new excessive within the first week of January 2017. In 2020, BTC had additionally consolidated for about six months earlier than it started to rally from $11,000 nearly three weeks earlier than the US elections after which went on to achieve a brand new excessive of $42,000 in January 2021.
Bitcoin’s latest value motion additionally appears to be enjoying out the identical approach as BTC started rallying in mid-October and even came close to hitting its present ATH of $73,700 late final month. As such, there may be the chance that the flagship crypto may once more retest this ATH and surpass it as quickly as January 2024 and even earlier than then.
There Might Be Some Volatility In The Coming Days
In an X post, Crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that the times following the final three US presidential elections have been unstable for the Bitcoin value. Nevertheless, he added that the general pattern has stayed upward.
Economist and crypto analyst Alex Krüger also warned concerning the potential pullback the Bitcoin value may face after the US elections. He claimed that there’s a 45% probability that BTC may drop to as little as $65,000 if Kamala Harris wins the elections.
As a consequence of his pro-crypto stance, Donald Trump appears to be essentially the most most popular candidate within the crypto group. As such, the market may initially react negatively to a Harris win whereas taking in Trump’s loss.
On the time of writing, the Bitcoin value is buying and selling at round $68,000, down within the final 24 hours, in line with data from CoinMarketCap.
Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
