Key factors:
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Bitcoin sees a modest rebound into the weekly candle shut, however merchants see key resistance overhead.
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BTC worth motion dangers a a lot deeper drop if bulls fail to reclaim that resistance zone.
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Fibonacci evaluation hints that such a drop might not move greater than 10%.
Bitcoin (BTC) returned above $111,000 into Sunday’s weekly shut as evaluation noticed “promising” restoration indicators.
BTC worth “logical” bounce zone close to $100,000
Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD gaining round 1% on the day to hit native highs of $111,369.
The pair’s newest dip, which followed US macroeconomic data, noticed bulls protect $110,000 help.
“That is really promising on $BTC,” crypto dealer, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe responded on X.
“It makes a brand new larger low and holds the help at $110K. Can be nice if we crack $112K and fireplace up the bull run.”
Market contributors continued to carry diverging views over short-term BTC worth motion. Common dealer Cipher X recommended that $112,000 may spark new lows ought to bulls fail to reclaim it subsequent.
$BTC holds round $111K, however construction hints at a attainable dip
If momentum stalls under $112K, I count on a pullback towards $108K help
Nothing main is occurring throughout the market proper now – it’s the weekend so finest to remain affected person and relaxed. pic.twitter.com/JP8lUHoKNz
— Cipher X (@Cipher2X) September 7, 2025
“We both flip $113,000 and pump to new highs, or if we reject right here we drop to $100,000,” fellow dealer Crypto Tony added on the day, adopting a extra categorical perspective based mostly on the weekly chart.
Dealer TurboBullCapital referenced the 50-day and 200-day easy transferring averages (SMAs) at $115,035 and $101,760, respectively, as essential ranges to look at going ahead.
“Lose the $107k space & the draw back goal turns into the $101k degree which additionally occurs to coincide with the MA200,” a part of an X submit concluded.
“It is a logical space to count on a bounce.”
Bitcoin’s “worst case situation” coincides with $100,000
As Cointelegraph reported, one idea on longer timeframes includes market makers on trade order books.
Associated: Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis
Quick sellers and bears, it suggests, could possibly be the victims of manipulation previous to an enormous quick squeeze occasion taking the market to new all-time highs. This might echo worth motion in late 2024.
Within the meantime, Fibonacci retracement ranges indicate a most drop of 10%, once more based mostly on historic habits because the finish of final 12 months.
“$BTC normally bottoms at 0.382 Fibonacci degree. This occurred in Q3 2024, Q2 2025 and can in all probability occur once more,” well-liked dealer ZYN observed.
“For anybody questioning how low we are able to go, 0.382 Fibonacci degree is at present round $100K. So the worst case situation is a ten% drop earlier than a 50% rally above $150,000.”
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.