Key takeaways:
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The TOTAL2 market cap has hit $1.5 trillion for the primary time since January.
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Exchanges acquired over $1.7 billion in stablecoin inflows this week, and analysts suppose the positioning is towards altcoins.
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TOTAL3 will increase stay in an early stage, with analysts eyeing a parabolic rally to $5 trillion.
Capital rotation from Bitcoin (BTC) to altcoins continues with the TOTAL2 market cap (excluding BTC) tagging $1.5 trillion on Friday. This degree is the upper timeframe resistance, which was final examined in January 2025.
Whereas the markets may stall at this vary, the long-term trajectory stays prime for a breakout above $1.5 trillion, eyeing an all-time excessive market cap of $1.72 trillion. If TOTAL2 closes the month-to-month candle above $1.51 trillion, it could be the best optimistic shut for the altcoin index in historical past.
Stablecoin surge continues to gasoline altseason rally
Cointelegraph just lately reported that Binance’s USDT and USDC balances reached a brand new excessive of $31 billion in June 2025, underlining sidelined capital. This wave of liquidity has continued to circulation as centralized exchanges like Binance and HTX recorded sharp spikes in stablecoin inflows, receiving $895 million and $819 million this week. This shift displays continued curiosity in Bitcoin and a doubtlessly deeper accumulation section for high-beta altcoins.
On July 16, over $2 billion price of stablecoins, primarily USDT, had been deposited into main derivatives platforms, suggesting a major uptick in leverage urge for food amongst refined merchants. Tether Treasury’s fresh mints again the narrative of institutional demand, with a rising inclination towards risk-taking.
Whereas Binance dominated greater than 55% of world buying and selling quantity, over $8 billion every day, whale BTC deposits have dropped by $2.25 billion, suggesting diminished promote stress for Bitcoin, liberating up room for capital to rotate into the altcoin market.
Whereas Bitcoin stays the liquidity anchor, the info factors to a rising undercurrent amongst establishments and high-volume merchants could already be positioning forward of the subsequent main altcoin breakout.
Related: SUI’s next ‘altcoin season’ stop could be $5: Here’s why
Altseason nonetheless in early levels as TOTAL3 eyes $5 trillion
The broader altcoin market, excluding Ethereum, stays within the early levels of what many analysts imagine may very well be a historic altseason. At present valued at roughly $1 trillion, one market commentator recommended the entire altcoin market cap may climb as excessive as $5 trillion this cycle, a 400% upside.
Nameless crypto analyst Mags noted that altcoin cycles are likely to unfold in distinct phases: starting with a breakout from extended consolidation, then regularly trending larger. Probably the most explosive beneficial properties, nevertheless, normally happen within the ultimate section, a steep vertical rally compressed into only a few month-to-month candles. This final leg has traditionally produced probably the most vital returns within the shortest span, catching latecomers off guard.
Supporting the early-stage narrative, the Altseason Index highlights that whereas the 30-day indicator has just lately crossed the 75 threshold, signaling early capital rotation into altcoins, the 60-day index stays subdued. This suggests that comparatively few altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over a sustained interval.
With sentiment constructing and capital flowing, analysts warning that whereas upside potential stays vital, disciplined execution and timing may very well be key to capturing the complete extent of the transfer.
Related: 3 charts scream ‘It’s altcoin season’ as Bitcoin dominance hits 8-week lows
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.