BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes believes the US laws looking for to ascertain a framework for dollar-pegged stablecoins might be bullish for Bitcoin (BTC) and main banks.
In a brand new essay, Hayes says the Guiding and Establishing Nationwide Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act will unlock trillions of {dollars} in liquidity and increase markets.
In line with Hayes, the GENIUS Act, which was passed within the U.S. Senate final month and is now ready to be tabled on the ground of the U.S. Home of Representatives, will permit too-big-to-fail (TBTF) banks to challenge stablecoins and unlock as much as $6.8 trillion in liquidity.
TBTF banks, which embody megabanks resembling JPMorgan Chase, Financial institution of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, are giant monetary establishments so important to the financial system that their failure can be catastrophic for the worldwide monetary system.
In gentle of the GENIUS Act, Hayes says the very best guess isn’t investing in non-bank stablecoin issuers resembling Circle.
“The actual stablecoin play isn’t betting on crusty FinTechs like Circle—it’s understanding that the US authorities simply handed TBTF banks the launch keys to a multi-trillion-dollar liquidity bazooka disguised as ‘innovation’…
As an alternative, go lengthy Bitcoin. Go lengthy JPMorgan. Overlook about Circle.”
In line with the BitMEX co-founder, the elevated liquidity arising from permitting banks to challenge stablecoins, in addition to different fiscal coverage measures, may ship “Bitcoin pumping 10x to $1 million.”
The shares of the megabanks, alternatively, may soar by almost 3x because of the GENIUS Act, per Hayes.
“If we take the common price-to-earnings ratio of the TBTF banks at 14.41x and multiply that by the price financial savings and stablecoin NIM (web curiosity margin) potential, it comes out to $3.91 trillion. The present market cap of the eight TBTF banks is roughly $2.1 trillion, which implies that stablecoins may pump TBTF financial institution shares on common by 184%.”
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